Is local government debt a serious threat to the Chinese state?

Share

The word "default" was first used 2400 years ago when several towns outside Athens could not repay their debts. This aside reminds us that it is not just central governments that can risk public sector insolvency. In this question you are encouraged to think through contemporary Chinese experience, in particular since the global economic crisis began in 2007, and to relate it to other countries that have had difficulties with local government debts, such as Argentina and Brazil.

Useful Info: 

You may find the following points useful in preparing your answer:

  1. Make sure you understand the circumstances under which a government becomes insolvent.
  2. Consider the circumstances under which local government debt defaults might affect the national economy.
  3. Don't be too disappointed if you cannot get precise information on the scale of Chinese local government debts. Approximate estimates will provide enough useful information for you to think hard about.
  4. What, if anything, can the Chinese government do to fix this problem?
  5. When it comes to encouraging prudent borrowing by government bodies, are certain constitutional arrangements better than others?

You may find the following writings of interest:

  • Simon Johnson and James Kwak. "National Debt for Beginners." Available here.
  • Dong Tao. “China: An informal lending ‚time bomb”. Available here.

How to submit YOUR essay.

  1. In order to submit an essay to Project Firefly you must be a registered user with a completed profile
  2. Essay submissions are evaluated for publication by the Academic Review Board. Please be certain your name does not appear on the submitted essay to ensure blind review
  3. Essays must be written in English and should be not less than 800 words or more than 1,500 (excluding bibliography). Essays must fully reference all sources used. Please note: Plagiarism controls will be taken prior to publishing
  4. Please note:
    -Plagiarism controls will be taken prior to publishing.
    -Ensure you are happy with your use of English, your essay will not be edited.

For additional information, please see: